Kalshi2026 SenateAlaska Senate Race 2026
Kalshi has 4 events on the 2026 Alaska Senate race, with $2,538,374 in lifetime volume across 28 contracts. On the “Alaska Senate winner? (Party)” market the implied probability is 72% for the Democratic party and 29% for the Republican party, based on each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Lifetime volume
$2,538,374
Contracts
28
Kalshi events
4
Highest implied
72%
Democratic party
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)
1
Republican party
29%
$1,177,028
2
Democratic party
72%
$636,231
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
1
Mary PeltolaDem
73%
$160,672
2
Dan SullivanRep
28%
$120,676
3
Ann DienerDem
<1%
$8,895
4
Richard GraysonGreen
<1%
$7,288
5
Sid HillIndependent
<1%
$7,248
6
Daniel J. Sullivan
1%
$4,854
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Alaska Senate: who will advance?
1
David LeslieSettled No
$164,375
2
Gerald HeikesSettled Yes
$70,093
3
Dan J. SullivanSettled Yes
$60,708
4
Dan S. SullivanSettled Yes
$26,370
5
Dustin DardenSettled No
$19,660
6
William HuntSettled No
$16,214
7
Carol HafnerSettled No
$14,224
8
Mary PeltolaSettled Yes
$7,392
9
Richard GraysonSettled No
$5,991
10
Scott KohlhaasSettled No
$2,786
11
Fred C. GraubergerSettled No
$2,675
12
Earl SouthworthSettled No
$1,830
13
Heather McElwainSettled No
$1,702
14
Sid HillSettled No
$1,607
15
Shirley SaucermanSettled No
$412
16
Richard MayersSettled No
$2
17
Reece RobertsSettled No
$2
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds
1
2
$10,270
2
1
$4,976
3
3
$4,194