Kalshi2026 Senate

Alaska Senate Race 2026

Kalshi has 6 events on the 2026 Alaska Senate race, with $44,132,727 in lifetime volume across 37 contracts. On the “Alaska Senate winner? (Party)” market the implied probability is 98% for the Democratic party and 2% for the Republican party, based on each contract's trading range on Nov 10, 2026.

Lifetime volume

$44,132,727

Contracts

37

Kalshi events

6

Highest implied

98%

Democratic party

Alaska Senate winner? (Party)

SENATEAK-26OpenVolume $38,723,893Event pageSeries hub
1
Republican party
2% $26,586,678
2
Democratic party
98% $12,137,216

Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 10, 2026.

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

KXAKSENATE-26NOV03OpenVolume $4,959,334Event pageSeries hub
1
Dan SullivanRep
2% $3,471,830
2
Mary PeltolaDem
98% $1,318,336
3
Daniel J. Sullivan
1% $142,261
4
Ann DienerDem
<1% $12,204
5
Richard GraysonGreen
<1% $7,288
6
Sid HillIndependent
<1% $7,268
7
Gerald HeikesRep
1% $147

Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 10, 2026.

Alaska Senate: who will advance?

KXAKSENADVANCE-26AUG18SettledVolume $396,043Event pageSeries hub
1
David LeslieSettled No
$164,375
2
Gerald HeikesSettled Yes
$70,093
3
Dan J. SullivanSettled Yes
$60,708
4
Dan S. SullivanSettled Yes
$26,370
5
Dustin DardenSettled No
$19,660
6
William HuntSettled No
$16,214
7
Carol HafnerSettled No
$14,224
8
Mary PeltolaSettled Yes
$7,392
9
Richard GraysonSettled No
$5,991
10
Scott KohlhaasSettled No
$2,786
11
Fred C. GraubergerSettled No
$2,675
12
Earl SouthworthSettled No
$1,830
13
Heather McElwainSettled No
$1,702
14
Sid HillSettled No
$1,607
15
Shirley SaucermanSettled No
$412
16
Richard MayersSettled No
$2
17
Reece RobertsSettled No
$2

When will AP call the Alaska Senate election?

KXAPCALLAKSEN-26NOV04OpenVolume $23,295Event pageSeries hub
1
Before Nov 14
$8,392
2
Before Nov 19
$5,019
3
Before Nov 18
$4,143
4
Before Jan 4
$3,789
5
Before Nov 11
$1,603
6
Before Nov 26
$349

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

KXAKSENATEROUND-26OpenVolume $23,011Event pageSeries hub
1
2
$11,699
2
1
$6,289
3
3
$5,024

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

KXCLOSERAKTXSEN-26DEC07OpenVolume $7,150Event pageSeries hub
1
Texas US Senate
$3,691
2
Alaska US Senate
$3,459