Kalshi2026 GovernorAlaska Governor Race 2026
Kalshi has 3 events on the 2026 Alaska Governor race, with $1,622,065 in lifetime volume across 34 contracts. On the “Alaska Governor winner? (Person)” market the implied probability is 77% for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, 17% for Bernadette Wilson and 3% for Dave Bronson, based on each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Lifetime volume
$1,622,065
Contracts
34
Kalshi events
3
Highest implied
77%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
1
Tom BegichDem
<1%
$244,745
2
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDem
77%
$118,900
3
Treg TaylorRep
<1%
$79,113
4
Bernadette WilsonRep
17%
$56,785
5
Dave BronsonRep
3%
$45,300
6
Click BishopRep
<1%
$35,889
7
Mary PeltolaDem
<1%
$17,952
8
Adam CrumRep
<1%
$16,295
9
Nancy DahlstromRep
<1%
$14,421
10
Matt HeilalaRep
<1%
$12,774
11
Bill WalkerIndependent
2%
$10,335
12
Shelley HughesRep
<1%
$5,762
13
Matthew ClamanDem
<1%
$4,696
14
Lesil McGuireRep
1%
$3,602
15
Edna DeVriesRep
<1%
$1,858
16
Lisa MurkowskiRep
<1%
$1,364
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
1
Democratic party
72%
$90,325
2
Republican party
26%
$69,695
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.
Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
1
Treg TaylorRepSettled No
$155,456
2
Adam CrumRepSettled No
$117,506
3
Dave BronsonRepSettled Yes
$99,306
4
Click BishopRepSettled No
$89,185
5
Bernadette WilsonRepSettled Yes
$70,377
6
Shelley HughesRepSettled No
$49,466
7
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsSettled Yes
$48,277
8
Bill WalkerIndependentSettled No
$46,685
9
Tom BegichDemSettled Yes
$40,561
10
Mary PeltolaDemSettled No
$26,629
11
Matthew ClamanDemSettled No
$14,183
12
Nancy DahlstromRepSettled No
$13,668
13
Matt HeilalaRepSettled No
$12,386
14
Lisa MurkowskiRepSettled No
$3,404
15
Lesil McGuireSettled No
$2,822
16
Edna DeVriesRepSettled No
$2,344