Kalshi2026 GovernorAlaska Governor Race 2026
Kalshi has 3 events on the 2026 Alaska Governor race, with $3,151,756 in lifetime volume across 34 contracts. On the “Alaska Governor winner? (Party)” market the implied probability is 99% for the Democratic party and <1% for the Republican party, based on each contract's trading range on Nov 10, 2026.
Lifetime volume
$3,151,756
Contracts
34
Kalshi events
3
Highest implied
99%
Democratic party
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
1
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDem
$513,407
2
Bernadette WilsonRep
$277,523
3
Tom BegichDem
$275,090
4
Treg TaylorRep
$89,547
5
Dave BronsonRep
$71,755
6
Click BishopRep
$39,373
7
Mary PeltolaDem
$22,049
8
Adam CrumRep
$19,820
9
Nancy DahlstromRep
$16,422
10
Bill WalkerIndependent
$15,126
11
Matt HeilalaRep
$14,775
12
Shelley HughesRep
$7,763
13
Matthew ClamanDem
$6,697
14
Lesil McGuireRep
$6,362
15
Lisa MurkowskiRep
$4,666
16
Edna DeVriesRep
$3,859
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
1
Republican party
<1%
$607,714
2
Democratic party
99%
$367,598
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 10, 2026.
Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?
1
Treg TaylorRepSettled No
$155,456
2
Adam CrumRepSettled No
$117,506
3
Dave BronsonRepSettled Yes
$99,306
4
Click BishopRepSettled No
$89,185
5
Bernadette WilsonRepSettled Yes
$70,377
6
Shelley HughesRepSettled No
$49,466
7
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsSettled Yes
$48,277
8
Bill WalkerIndependentSettled No
$46,685
9
Tom BegichDemSettled Yes
$40,561
10
Mary PeltolaDemSettled No
$26,585
11
Matthew ClamanDemSettled No
$14,183
12
Nancy DahlstromRepSettled No
$13,668
13
Matt HeilalaRepSettled No
$12,386
14
Lisa MurkowskiRepSettled No
$3,404
15
Lesil McGuireSettled No
$2,822
16
Edna DeVriesRepSettled No
$2,344