Kalshi2026 SenateOregon Senate Race 2026
Kalshi has 3 events on the 2026 Oregon Senate race, with $138,457 in lifetime volume across 11 contracts. On the “Oregon Senate winner?” market the implied probability is 99% for Jeff Merkley and <1% for David Brock Smith, based on each contract's trading range on Nov 3, 2026. “Oregon Republican Senate nominee?” settled Yes on David Brock Smith. “Oregon Democratic Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Jeff Merkley.
Lifetime volume
$138,457
Contracts
11
Kalshi events
3
Highest implied
99%
Jeff Merkley
Oregon Senate winner?
1
David Brock SmithRep
<1%
$87,041
2
Jeff MerkleyDem
99%
$29,196
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 3, 2026.
Oregon Republican Senate nominee?
1
David Brock SmithSettled Yes
$6,821
2
Jo Rae PerkinsSettled No
$2,907
3
Deborah C. BrownSettled No
$1,374
4
Brent BarkerSettled No
$376
5
Russ McAlmondSettled No
$299
6
David BurchSettled No
$129
7
Tim SkeltonSettled No
$85
Oregon Democratic Senate nominee?
1
Jacob RyanSettled No
$7,911
2
Jeff MerkleySettled Yes
$2,318