Kalshi2026 SenateMinnesota Senate Race 2026
Kalshi has 3 events on the 2026 Minnesota Senate race, with $18,261,825 in lifetime volume across 21 contracts. On the “Minnesota Senate winner?” market the implied probability is 99% for the Democratic (DFL) party and <1% for the Republican party, based on each contract's trading range on Nov 4, 2026. “Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Peggy Flanagan. “Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Michele Tafoya.
Lifetime volume
$18,261,825
Contracts
21
Kalshi events
3
Highest implied
99%
Democratic (DFL) party
Minnesota Senate winner?
1
Republican party
<1%
$12,866,796
2
Democratic (DFL) party
99%
$3,851,324
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 4, 2026.
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
1
Peggy FlanaganSettled Yes
$603,191
2
Angie CraigSettled No
$547,623
3
Melisa López FranzenSettled No
$3,355
4
Ilhan OmarSettled No
$3,053
5
Keith EllisonSettled No
$1,402
6
Jacob FreySettled No
$849
7
Steve SimonSettled No
$192
8
Betty McCollumSettled No
$171
9
David WellstoneSettled No
$100
10
Melissa HortmanSettled No
$1
Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
1
Adam SchwarzeSettled No
$168,320
2
Michele TafoyaSettled Yes
$111,081
3
Royce WhiteSettled No
$71,758
4
David HannSettled No
$17,131
5
Mark YorkSettled No
$8,576
6
Julia ColemanSettled No
$3,356
7
Kristin RobbinsSettled No
$1,470
8
Alycia GruenhagenSettled No
$1,078
9
Tom WeilerSettled No
$997