Kalshi2026 Senate

Michigan Senate Race 2026

Kalshi has 6 events on the 2026 Michigan Senate race, with $38,001,390 in lifetime volume across 32 contracts. On the “Michigan Senate winner?” market the implied probability is 73% for the Democratic party and 27% for the Republican party, based on each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026. “Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Abdul El-Sayed. “Michigan Republican Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Mike Rogers.

Lifetime volume

$38,001,390

Contracts

32

Kalshi events

6

Highest implied

73%

Democratic party

Michigan Senate winner?

SENATEMI-26OpenVolume $4,393,206Event pageSeries hub
1
Republican party
27% $2,490,924
2
Democratic party
73% $1,902,282

Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

KXMISENATE-26OpenVolume $1,990,989Event pageSeries hub
1
Mike RogersRep
$977,981
2
Abdul El-SayedDem
$817,411
3
Haley StevensDem
$187,553
4
Mallory McMorrowDem
$8,044

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

KXSENATEMID-26SettledVolume $31,495,099Event pageSeries hub
1
Haley StevensSettled No
$20,543,912
2
Abdul El-SayedSettled Yes
$9,935,789
3
Mallory McMorrowSettled No
$959,054
4
Rashida TlaibSettled No
$19,822
5
Dana NesselSettled No
$11,725
6
Kristen McDonald RivetSettled No
$7,091
7
Andy LevinSettled No
$7,062
8
Sarah AnthonySettled No
$6,113
9
Matt SahrSettled No
$4,532

Michigan Republican Senate nominee?

KXSENATEMIR-26SettledVolume $105,605Event pageSeries hub
1
Mike RogersSettled Yes
$75,280
2
Bernadette SmithSettled No
$21,082
3
Frederick HeurtebiseSettled No
$6,030
4
Kent BenhamSettled No
$1,710
5
Genevieve ScottSettled No
$1,503

Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?

KXGENERALCOUNTY-SENATEMI-26OpenVolume $11,787Event pageSeries hub
1
Kent
$5,414
2
Grand Traverse
$2,582
3
Saginaw
$1,291
4
Genesee
$888
5
Muskegon
$625
6
Oakland
$576
7
Eaton
$410

When will AP call the Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

KXAPCALLMID-26AUG05SettledVolume $4,703Event pageSeries hub
1
Before 12PM Aug 5Settled Yes
$3,061
2
Before 5PM Aug 5Settled Yes
$1,096
3
Before Aug 6Settled Yes
$377
4
Before 5AM Aug 5Settled No
$156
5
Before 9AM Aug 5Settled No
$13