Kalshi2026 Senate

Louisiana Senate Race 2026

Kalshi has 7 events on the 2026 Louisiana Senate race, with $2,942,002 in lifetime volume across 36 contracts. On the “Louisiana Senate winner?” market the implied probability is 93% for the Republican party and 8% for the Democratic party, based on each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026. “Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner” settled Yes on Julia Letlow.

Lifetime volume

$2,942,002

Contracts

36

Kalshi events

7

Highest implied

93%

Republican party

Louisiana Senate winner?

KXSENATELA-26NOVOpenVolume $67,324Event pageSeries hub
1
Democratic party
8% $51,118
2
Republican party
93% $16,206

Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Sep 24, 2026.

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

KXSENATELAR-26OpenVolume $2,205,731Event pageSeries hub
1
Julia Letlow
$1,055,948
2
John Fleming
$968,007
3
Bill CassidySettled No
$169,883
4
Blake MiguezSettled No
$6,655
5
Julie EmersonSettled No
$3,499
6
Kathy SeidenSettled No
$1,150
7
Sammy WyattSettled No
$481
8
Eric SkrmettaSettled No
$108

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner

KXLARSENR1-26MAY16SettledVolume $215,494Event pageSeries hub
1
Bill CassidySettled No
$90,235
2
Julia LetlowSettled Yes
$80,521
3
John FlemingSettled No
$44,738

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16OpenVolume $165,162Event pageSeries hub
1
Julia Letlow, 9%+
$51,134
2
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
$19,851
3
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%
$12,192
4
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
$12,021
5
Bill Cassidy, 9%+
$11,773
6
John Fleming, 9%+
$11,154
7
John Fleming, 3-6%
$9,204
8
John Fleming, 0-3%
$9,141
9
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%
$7,897
10
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%
$7,687
11
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
$6,905
12
John Fleming, 6-9%
$6,204

Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright?

KXLASEN1R-26MAY16SettledVolume $143,553Event pageSeries hub
1
Republican primarySettled No
$134,149
2
Democratic primarySettled No
$9,404

Louisiana Republican Senate primary matchup

KXLASENMATCHUP-26MAYSettledVolume $93,128Event pageSeries hub
1
Julia Letlow vs. Bill CassidySettled No
$35,683
2
Julia Letlow vs. John FlemingSettled Yes
$25,861
3
Julia Letlow wins outrightSettled No
$15,265
4
Bill Cassidy vs. John FlemingSettled No
$13,233
5
John Fleming wins outrightSettled No
$2,303
6
Bill Cassidy wins outrightSettled No
$782

Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee?

KXSENATELAD-26OpenVolume $51,610Event pageSeries hub
1
Jamie Davis
$27,625
2
Gary Crockett
$20,768
3
Nick AlbaresSettled No
$3,218