Kalshi2026 SenateArkansas Senate Race 2026
Kalshi has 3 events on the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, with $1,356,940 in lifetime volume across 10 contracts. On the “Arkansas Senate winner?” market the implied probability is 95% for Tom Cotton and 5% for Hallie Shoffner, based on each contract's trading range on Nov 3, 2026. “Arkansas Democratic Senate nominee?” settled Yes on Hallie Shoffner.
Lifetime volume
$1,356,940
Contracts
10
Kalshi events
3
Highest implied
95%
Tom Cotton
Arkansas Senate winner?
1
Hallie ShoffnerDem
5%
$858,854
2
Tom CottonRep
95%
$448,757
Implied probability: midpoint of each contract's trading range on Nov 3, 2026.
Tom Cotton vote percent in the Arkansas Senate GOP primary?
1
75% or moreSettled Yes
$15,819
2
85% or moreSettled No
$7,426
3
80% or moreSettled Yes
$6,206
4
90% or moreSettled No
$3,941
5
95% or moreSettled No
$3,477
Arkansas Democratic Senate nominee?
1
Dan WhitfieldSettled No
$7,868
2
Hallie ShoffnerSettled Yes
$3,651
3
Ethan DunbarSettled No
$941