Kalshi

Weather Prediction Markets

Weather forecasting is where prediction markets get unusually literal: this hub follows Kalshi's daily high-temperature contracts for major US cities, where traders price the odds of tomorrow's high landing in a given range. The result is a forecast that reprices through the day as new model runs and observations come in, rather than a single outlook issued each morning. It's a live, money-weighted answer to a question meteorologists usually give as a static number. The markets are ordered by volume over the trailing week.

Top 29 Markets — Last 7 Days

1
Where will it rain daily
$8.1M 2
Highest temperature in Los Angeles
$4.8M 3
Hourly Directional Miami Temperature
$3.3M 4
Highest temperature in Miami
$1.4M 5
Highest temperature in NYC
$1M 6
Highest temperature in Chicago
$837.5K 7
Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature
$823.2K 8
Hourly Directional NYC Temperature
$703.8K 9
Phoenix High Temperature Daily
$663.6K 10
Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature
$658K 11
San Francisco High Temperature Daily
$620.2K 12
Atlanta Max Temperature
$548.5K 13
Dallas Maximum Temperature
$494.1K 14
Highest temperature in Denver
$411K 15
Highest temperature in Austin
$402.8K 16
Highest temperature in Philadelphia
$336.5K 17
Oklahoma City Maximum High Temperature
$328.9K 18
Minneapolis Daily High Temperature
$285.6K 19
Daily High Temperature Houston
$269K 20
Seattle Maximum Temperature Daily
$257.5K 21
Boston Maximum Daily Temperature
$230K 22
New Orleans Max temp Daily
$214.1K 23
Where will it rain this weekend?
$201.9K 24
Las Vegas Max Daily Temperature
$195.6K 25
Hurricane category
$182.7K 26
Washington DC Daily Max Temp
$166.9K 27
San Antonio Daily Maximum Temperature
$160.3K 28
Lowest temperature in NYC
$106.7K 29
Lowest Temperature Chicago
$102K
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Prediction Market Data, Explained