Stock Market Prediction Markets
This hub tracks Kalshi's index markets — daily and range contracts on where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 will close. Taken together, the contract prices sketch a market-implied probability distribution for the day's finish: not a single target, but the odds spread across a set of outcomes. It draws on the same information that moves index options, expressed as straightforward yes-or-no probabilities instead of strikes and premiums. The markets below are ranked by how much traded through them over the past week.
Top 15 Markets — Last 7 Days
1
S&P 500 above/below
$5.8M
2
Nasdaq above/below
$2.3M
3
S&P 500 range
$689K
4
S&P 500 yearly range
$518.4K
5
Nasdaq range
$361.3K
6
iPhone
$304.9K
7
Company Merger
$240.4K
8
S&P 500 max yearly
$174.3K
9
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
$150.4K
10
Anthropic IPO
$138.6K
11
UST 10 Year Daily
$115K
12
UST 30 Year Daily
$111K
13
EURUSD weekly
$104.7K
14
RTX 5090 Weekly
$103.6K
15
UST 2 Year Daily
$100.9K
See every market, by category
Browse the full catalog of active Kalshi markets, grouped by topic.