Stock Market Prediction Markets
This hub tracks Kalshi's index markets — daily and range contracts on where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 will close. Taken together, the contract prices sketch a market-implied probability distribution for the day's finish: not a single target, but the odds spread across a set of outcomes. It draws on the same information that moves index options, expressed as straightforward yes-or-no probabilities instead of strikes and premiums. The markets below are ranked by how much traded through them over the past week.
Top 14 Markets — Last 7 Days
1
Nasdaq above/below
$33M
2
S&P 500 above/below
$26.4M
3
15-minute GBPUSD
$5.8M
4
15-minute EURUSD
$5.8M
5
Fifteen-min USDJPY
$4.3M
6
Nasdaq range
$1.2M
7
S&P 500 range
$958.4K
8
DJI Hourly
$476.7K
9
Anthropic IPO
$455.9K
10
S&P 500 yearly range
$209.7K
11
UST 10 Year Daily
$185.1K
12
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
$127.4K
13
Tesla KPI
$120.5K
14
Nasdaq yearly range
$102.4K
See every market, by category
Browse the full catalog of active Kalshi markets, grouped by topic.