Kalshi

Election & Political Prediction Markets

Every serious election forecast eventually gets one question: what does the money think? This hub answers it, tracking Kalshi's election and political markets — presidential primaries, control of the House and Senate, governors' races, and federal policy fights. Each contract's price is a live, money-weighted probability that a given outcome happens, and it often moves hours before a poll or a pundit catches up. The markets below are ordered by how much capital changed hands in them over the past week, so the ranking reflects where attention and conviction actually concentrated, not an editor's read.

Top 50 Markets — Last 7 Days

Florida Governor Republican nominee

Democratic Primary winner

Vote percentages in primaries

South Carolina Special Republican primary

Florida Primary Winners

Republican Primary winner

Primary margins of victory

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Special Senate election in Ohio

Texas Senate race

Election place in primaries

Iowa Senate race

Congress balance of power combo

Michigan Senate race

Trump attend another UFC event this year

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?

California Governor's race

Florida Democratic Senate nominee

Turnout in primaries

Mitch McConnell resigning

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Which state ballot measures will pass?

Who will leave the Trump administration

US Iran nuclear deal

Crypto market structure

Wyoming Primary Winners

FL 19 Republican primary

New York Governor

Wisconsin Governor

President RCP approval rating daily

Minnesota Senate race

Democratic Senate seats

Midterm margin of victory

Brazil Presidency

Republican senate seats

Democratic VP nom

President impeached

House Race Winner?

Alaska governor

Browse All Markets by Category

Biggest Markets by Volume

Are Prediction Markets Legal in the US?

Prediction Market Data, Explained