Kalshi

Fed Rate & Economic Prediction Markets

When traders put real money behind the Fed's next move, the price they settle on is a forecast in its own right. This hub follows Kalshi's economic markets — FOMC rate decisions, CPI inflation prints, monthly jobs reports, and gas prices — where a contract trading at 70 cents is the crowd assigning roughly 70% odds to that outcome. Unlike an analyst's forecast that sits unchanged between releases, these prices reprice continuously as each data point lands. The markets are ranked by volume over the trailing week.

Top 45 Markets — Last 7 Days

1
Fed meeting
$4.7M 2
US gas price up
$2.5M 3
US gas price up
$1.2M 4
Inflation
$764.1K 5
Fed funds rate
$453.5K 6
Daily Diesel Price
$427.5K 7
Georgia gas price
$404.6K 8
Unemployment
$400.7K 9
Ohio gas price
$346.5K 10
Jobs numbers
$339.8K 11
Florida gas price
$332.5K 12
South Carolina gas price
$321.1K 13
Number of rate cuts
$299.9K 14
North Carolina gas price
$280.9K 15
Colorado gas price
$266.9K 16
CPI
$262.3K 17
California gas price
$250.7K 18
TX gas price
$243.3K 19
New Jersey gas prices
$235.6K 20
Pennsylvania gas price
$235K 21
New York gas price
$214.5K 22
Maryland gas price
$212K 23
Michigan gas price
$210.2K 24
US gas price
$208.7K 25
Connecticut gas price
$202.4K 26
Washington gas price
$195.9K 27
Indiana gas price
$192.9K 28
Tennessee gas price
$190.5K 29
Core inflation
$182K 30
Illinois gas price
$180.7K 31
Virginia gas price
$178.5K 32
Minnesota gas price
$169K 33
diesel price week
$165.6K 34
Wisconsin gas price
$161.3K 35
Arizona gas price
$156.1K 36
Nevada gas price
$150.5K 37
Missouri gas price
$144.7K 38
CPI core
$139.9K 39
Massachusetts gas price
$137.2K 40
Oregon gas price
$136.1K 41
Diesel Prices month
$128.9K 42
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand
$120.5K 43
Recession
$119.5K 44
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand
$109.8K 45
Alaska diesel price this month
$106.7K
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Biggest Markets by Volume
Prediction Market Data, Explained