Kalshi

Crypto Prediction Markets

This hub tracks Kalshi's crypto markets, most of them price-threshold contracts: will Bitcoin close above a set level today, will Ethereum touch a given price this week. Because each one settles against a live price feed, its odds are an unusually clean read on what traders expect over very short horizons — the kind of near-term probability that's hard to extract from the spot price alone. Think of it as the options-implied view of a move, expressed as a simple yes-or-no probability. Ordering below is by trading volume over the past week.