Home/Litigation Tracker/KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler (6th Cir., consolidated with the Tennessee appeal)
KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler (6th Cir., consolidated with the Tennessee appeal)
Also captioned KalshiEX LLC v. Orgel
States win: Ohio affirmed, Tennessee vacated (6th Cir.)6th Cir.Kalshi v. State
Docket last checked September 26, 2026. Snapshot — not legal advice.
As of September 27, 2026, the legality of prediction markets in Tennessee is unresolved — litigation is ongoing with no final ruling yet. Tennessee status and cases →
As of September 27, 2026, Ohio has a restriction on prediction-market platforms currently in effect. Ohio status and cases →
Overview
The third federal appeals court to rule, and the second against the platforms. Kalshi sued both states pre-emptively. In Tennessee, Judge Aleta Trauger (M.D. Tenn.) granted it a preliminary injunction in February 2026, finding its sports event contracts likely "swaps"; in Ohio, Chief Judge Sarah Morrison (S.D. Ohio) denied one. The Sixth Circuit heard the two appeals together on July 30, 2026 (Clay, Gibbons and Bloomekatz, JJ.).
On September 25, 2026 it ruled for both states in a published opinion by Judge Gibbons, with no separate concurrence or dissent. It affirmed the Ohio denial, vacated the Tennessee injunction and remanded both. The holding has two independent parts. First, Kalshi “has not shown that its sports-event contracts satisfy the statutory definition of a ‘swap’” and so has not shown they fall within the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction. Second, “even assuming that Kalshi’s sports-event contracts are swaps,” the Commodity Exchange Act “neither expressly nor impliedly preempts Ohio’s or Tennessee’s gambling laws.”
That second holding is what sets it apart. The Ninth Circuit agreed with the Third that the Act preempts state regulation of futures trading and split only on whether sports contracts are covered; the Sixth Circuit held that even covered contracts would not displace state gambling law. It is binding on every federal court in Ohio, Tennessee, Michigan and Kentucky, including the three pending Michigan platform appeals. Like the others, it reviews preliminary-injunction rulings, not final judgments.
Changes
Logged September 26, 2026
Ruling
The Sixth Circuit ruled for Ohio and Tennessee in a published opinion: Kalshi has not shown its sports contracts are swaps, and even if they were, the CEA would not preempt either state’s gambling law. It affirmed Ohio’s denial and vacated Tennessee’s injunction. The circuits now stand two to one against the platforms.
Kalshi sues Tennessee officials (M.D. Tenn.); Judge Trauger grants a TRO within days.
February 2026
Judge Trauger grants Kalshi a preliminary injunction in Tennessee.
March 2026
S.D. Ohio (Chief Judge Morrison) denies Kalshi a preliminary injunction, creating the intra-circuit split.
April 2026
Sixth Circuit denies a stay of Ohio enforcement but expedites the appeal (No. 26-3196).
July 30, 2026
The Ohio and Tennessee appeals are argued together before Judges Clay, Gibbons and Bloomekatz.
September 25, 2026
The Sixth Circuit affirms the Ohio denial and vacates the Tennessee injunction in a published opinion by Judge Gibbons.
What's next: A petition for rehearing en banc would be due fourteen days after judgment, about October 9, 2026; Kalshi could also seek certiorari. The Tennessee injunction ends when the mandate issues. Both cases then return to the district courts. The decision also ends the abeyance on Michigan’s remand appeal and binds the three Michigan platform appeals.
Parties
Plaintiffs
KalshiEX LLC
Defendants
Matthew T. Schuler (Executive Director, Ohio Casino Control Commission)
Dave Yost (Ohio Attorney General)
Ohio Casino Control Commission
William Orgel (Chair, Tennessee Sports Wagering Council)
Jonathan Skrmetti (Tennessee Attorney General)
Mary Beth Thomas
This page is informational, not legal advice. Nearly every entry in this tracker is a preliminary ruling under appeal. Always verify a platform's current, location-specific eligibility directly with the venue before relying on this page.