2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

At the release of the national House popular vote data

KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) on Kalshi: $2,037,677 in total volume across 10 outcomes. Volume by outcome.

Outcomes by Volume

1

Republicans win

$645,591

2

Democrats, 0 to 2%

$272,703

3

Democrats, 2 to 4%

$179,104

4

Democrats, 8 to 10%

$160,509

5

Democrats, 10 to 12%

$158,764

6

Democrats, 16% and above

$150,559

7

Democrats, 12 to 14%

$140,686

8

Democrats, 6 to 8%

$137,224

9

Democrats, 4 to 6%

$112,215

10

Democrats, 14 to 16%

$99,778